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The Effect of External Shocks on Macroeconomic Variables for the Iranian Economy in the form of New Keynesian DSGE Model
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Sajad Boroumand *   , Teymour Mohamadi , Abas Memar nejad , Afshin Baghfalaki |
| iau of kermanshah , borus181@iauksh.ac.ir |
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Abstract: (2761 Views) |
| One of the important issues that have been the focus of economists in developed and developing countries for the last several decades is the study of the effect of External Shocks on macroeconomic variables of those countries.In this paper In order to investigate the effect of external shocks including world oil price, exchange rate and global inflation shocks on macroeconomic variables of Iran, We solved a stochastic dynamic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with the new Keynesian approach. The present study uses seasonal time series data from 1989 to 2016 to calculate the steady-state values of some variables in equilibrium state and to quantify other parameters from previous studies. Our main finding shows that GDP and non-oil production increase after a positive oil price shock. Our main finding shows that GDP and non-oil production increase after a positive oil price shock. In the case of oil production, at least in the short run, oil production can be somewhat low elasticity to price fluctuations. Also, exchange rate shock has a significant impact on domestic macroeconomic variables. As for the global inflation shock, we can say that, it has a weak influence on domestic variables. |
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| Keywords: Macroeconomic Variables, DSGE Model |
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Full-Text [PDF 777 kb]
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Type of Study: Research |
Subject:
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