:: Volume 17, Issue 50 (Summer 2009) ::
qjerp 2009, 17(50): 31-51 Back to browse issues page
Modeling stock market prices based on GMDH Neural Network: a case study for Iran
Mohsen Mehrara * , Ali Moeini , Mehdi Ahrari , Amir Hamony
, MMehrara@ut.AC.ir
Abstract:   (23957 Views)
This paper examines the relative importance of alternative asset prices and macro variables in the movements of stock prices in Iran, by applying GMDH (Group Method of Data Handling) neural network with genetic learning algorithms. The results imply that CPI, base money, oil price and house price play an important role in explaining the fluctuations of TEPIX index, whereas exchange rate and gold prices do not appear to have considerable effect on stock prices.
Keywords: GMDH, Stock Price Index, Iran economy
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Type of Study: Research | Subject: General


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Volume 17, Issue 50 (Summer 2009) Back to browse issues page