:: Volume 31, Issue 107 (quarterly journal of economic research and policies 2023) ::
qjerp 2023, 31(107): 123-160 Back to browse issues page
05 Factors Affecting on the Civil Conflict Risk: With an Emphasis on the Natural Resource Abundance and Interactive Effects
Abolghasem Golkhandan * , Sahebe Mohammadian Mansour
, golkhandana@gmail.com
Abstract:   (395 Views)
Civil conflict risk shows the possibility of armed confrontation with the government in its various forms. This research tried to investigate the factors affecting on the civil conflict risk with an Emphasis on the natural resource abundance and interactive effects in 87 countries of the world during the period of 2000-2018 using the dynamic panel data approach. Experimental results using System Generalized Method of Moments (SGMM) show that the effect of natural resource abundance on the civil conflict risk is positive and significant, and this effect is negative and significant for indicators of institutional quality, militarization and decentralization. Also, the positive effect of the natural resource abundance on the civil conflict risk decreases in the presence of good institutions and militarization and increases with the application of decentralization policy. According to other results, the variables of per capita income and the share of arable land from the total area of the country have a negative and significant effect, and population and religious and racial tensions have a positive and significant effect on the civil conflict risk in the studied countries.
Keywords: Civil Conflict Risk, Contest Success Function, Natural Resource Abundance, Interactive Effects, System Generalized Method of Moments (SGMM).
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Type of Study: Research | Subject: Special



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Volume 31, Issue 107 (quarterly journal of economic research and policies 2023) Back to browse issues page