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:: Volume 19, Issue 60 (Winter 2012) ::
3 2012, 19(60): 5-18 Back to browse issues page
The J-Curve Dynamics of Iran Foreign Trade
Mehdi Pedram , Shamsollah Shirinbakhsh, Maryam Rahmani
, mehdipedram@alzahra.ac.ir
Abstract:   (13761 Views)
The impact of devaluation of currency on trade balance can be studied in short and long run, which refers to J-curve effect and Marshall-Lerner Condition respectively. The purpose of this paper is to empirically study the effects of depreciation of I.R.Rial on the Iranian external trade balance, particularly, with the eleven world countries which constitute the over 65 percent of Iran’s foreign trade partrers, in two cases of short and long runs and for the years 1979-2006. This countries consist of: UAE, Germany, China, Italy, Switzerland, India, France, South Korea, Japan and UK and Turkey. In our study, we have used Eviews6 and to run VAR and IRF to estimate the envisage model. The empirical results suggest the existence of Marshal – Lerner condition for trade balance with the world as well as with UAE, Switzerland, India France, South Korea, Japan and UK. also the J- curve effect, at aggregate level and disaggregate levels, except in the case of Turkey, does exist.
Keywords: J-Curve, Marshall-Lerner Condition, Trade Balance
Full-Text [PDF 294 kb]   (6247 Downloads)    
Type of Study: Research | Subject: General
Received: 2012/09/4
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Pedram M, Shirinbakhsh S, Rahmani M. The J-Curve Dynamics of Iran Foreign Trade. 3. 2012; 19 (60) :5-18
URL: http://qjerp.ir/article-1-183-en.html

Volume 19, Issue 60 (Winter 2012) Back to browse issues page
فصلنامه پژوهشها و سیاستهای اقتصادی Journal of Economic Research and Policies
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