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Examining the Role of Financial Intermediation in the Production and Employment of Iran's Economy Using the Expanding Extraction Approach
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Naghmeh Baranpour   , Daryush Hasanvand * , Younes Nademi , Farhad Tarahomi |
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Abstract: (654 Views) |
| Financial intermediation plays a significant role in the economic growth and development of a country. The purpose of this research is to investigate the role of the financial intermediation sector in production and employment, considering Iran's double-digit unemployment rate and negative economic growth rate, using the country's latest data-output table. Hence, the expanding extraction method of Diazenbacher and Lehr (2013) is used.The results of the study demonstrate that if 10% of the output of the financial intermediation sector is removed, the total output of the economy will decrease by 31188388 million Rials (31.1%). In addition, this elimination has the greatest impact on the financial intermediation and transportation sectors. Also, the 10% reduction in the supply of the financial intermediation sector will have the highest reduction in the value-added percentage on the agriculture, industry and construction sectors. In addition, the removal of 10% of the financial intermediation sector will reduce the employment of the entire economy by 49,972 people (12.3%). Considering that the agricultural and fishing sectors, industry, construction and wholesale and retail services are considered key from the perspective of production and employment, and also there is a high correlation coefficient between the decrease in output and the decrease in employment between economic sectors, it can be said that growth-oriented policies and job-creating policies are in the same direction in Iran's economy are in the same direction. Therefore, it is suggested that economic policy makers should improve employment by adopting a growth-oriented policy. In this article, the 99-sector data-output table of 2011 (which was published by the Central Bank in March 2017) has been used as a section by section. Then, the above table is aggregated into 15 sections and it has been used after separating imports |
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| Keywords: Input-output, employment, hypothetical extraction, key sectors, production. |
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Full-Text [PDF 1240 kb]
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Type of Study: Research |
Subject:
Special
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