[Home ] [Archive]   [ فارسی ]  
:: Main :: About :: Current Issue :: Search :: Submit ::
Main Menu
Home::
Journal Information::
Articles archive::
For Authors::
For Reviewers::
Contact us::
statistical info::
::
Indexing and Abstracting
..
Islamic Economic Association Of Iran

..
Social Media




 
..
Paper Plagiarism Checker


 
..
:: Volume 34, Issue 117 (quarterly journal of economic research and policies 2026) ::
qjerp 2026, 34(117): 110-155 Back to browse issues page
Comparison of the Influence of Net money Flow by Individual Investors into Fixed Income Fund, Gold fund and Equity in the Capital Market
Mohsen Behzadi soufiani * , Mohammad Shahbazi
Department of Theoretical Economics , m.behzadi71@ut.ac.ir
Abstract:   (464 Views)
Many factors affect net money flow to financial markets, and economic uncertainties will change the flow. Macroeconomic factors and market fundamentals are indicators that are considered in the decisions of investors, especially individual ones. This study seeks to examine the impact of these factors on the stock markets, fixed-income funds, and gold funds in the Iranian capital market. Using ARDL model with daily data and a frequency of 5 days a week in the period from 2020/10 to 2024/12 in order to examine the short and long term, the risk-free interest rate has a positive and significant effect on driving money into fixed income funds, but it has a negative or insignificant effect on the other two. Exchange rate growth has a positive effect on the net money flow into gold funds and stocks in short and long terms. While for fixed income funds, this issue is reversed. The growth of stock index and the growth of the value of trade have a negative impact net money flow into fixed income funds and gold funds, which is in line with expectations. It is noteworthy that the P/E ratio and return on equity and return on assets have a negligible impact, indicating the dominant role of important macroeconomic rates, namely interest rates and exchange rates, in the considered period.
Keywords: Capital Market, Net money flow by individual investors, Fixed-income Funds, Gold Funds, Stock
Full-Text [PDF 983 kb]   (168 Downloads)    
Type of Study: Research | Subject: Special
References
1. ابونوری، اسمعیل؛ گل ارضی، غلامحسین؛ ابوالفضلی، سید رامین و حسین ویسی (1403). «بررسی سرایت پذیری تلاطم میان نرخ بازده دلار، شاخص هم وزن سهام، صندوق طلا و بیت کوین با استفاده از مدل DECO-GARCH». نشریه بورس اوراق بهادار، (پیاپی 67)، 25-48. Doi: 10.22034/jse.2024.12310.2186
2. بهشتی، ابراهیم؛ حمیدی، کامبیز؛ قبادی لموکی، تحفه؛ ایدی، محمد و جواد نیک‌نفس (1404). «طراحی مدل تمایل خرید سرمایه‌گذاران حقیقی بازار سهام با رویکرد پژوهش ترکیبی». دانش سرمایه‌گذاری، 14(55)، 347-371 . Doi: 10.30495/jik.2024.77211.4492
3. خلفی سپیده، ایمانی زهرا و صمدیان محمد مهدی (1401). بررسی تأثیر نوسانات نرخ ارز بر شاخص بورس. نشریه علمی پژوهش‌های کاربردی در مدیریت و حسابداری، 28 (2)، 15-27. https://joas.ir/user/articles/3842
4. زمهریرلو، سمیرا؛ منصورفر، غلامرضا و فرزاد غیور (1399). «تبیین عوامل مؤثر بر صدور و ابطال واحدهای صندوق‌های سرمایه‌گذاری مشترک-مقایسه رفتار صندوق‌های سرمایه‌گذاری در سهام و صندوق‌های سرمایه‌گذاری با درآمد ثابت». فصلنامه علمی راهبرد مدیریت مالی، 8(2، پیاپی 29)، 70-61 . Doi: 10.22051/jfm.2019.22515.1808
5. سجادی‌نژاد، سیده طیبه و محسن حمیدیان (1401). «زمان ورود به بازار سهام و اثر تمایل سرمایه‌گذاران خرد در بازار سرمایه ایران». رویکرد‌های پژوهشی نوین در مدیریت و حسابداری، 8(4 (پیاپی 67) )، 84-77 . https://majournal.ir/index.php/ma/article/view/1914
6. شاعرعطار، مهدی و اکبر میرزاپور باباجان (1400). «اثر شوک حاصل از دارایی پایه بر انحراف قیمت‌گذاری صندوق‌های قابل معامله طلا». نشریه دانش مالی تحلیل اوراق بهادار، 14(51). https://sanad.iau.ir/Journal/jfksa/Article/803354
7. صادقی، عبدالرسول؛ مرزبان، حسین؛ صمدی، علی‌حسین و کریم آذربایجانی (1400). «رابطه میان بازار سرمایه، سپرده‌های بانکی و سفته‌بازی ارزی: با تأکید بر نقش نرخ بهره در اقتصاد ایران». پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران، 26(87). [DOI:10.22054/ijer.2021.55948.910]
8. صالح‌نژاد، حسن و وحیدرضا غیور (1389). «تأثیر نرخ بازده دارایی‌هاو نرخ بازده حقوق صاحبان سهام و اهرم مالی بر قیمت سهام شرکت‌های پذیرفته شده در بورس اوراق بهادار تهران». فصلنامه مدیریت، 7(18)، 27-17 . https://www.sid.ir/paper/151497/fa
9. صمدی، سعید؛ ابراهیمی، نسرین و فریباالسادات عقیلی (1394). «اثر نوسانات نرخ ارز و شاخص بازار سهام بر قیمت سکه طلا». اقتصاد پولی مالی. 22(9)، 73- 57 . [DOI:10.22067/pm.v22i9.19367]
10. محمدی، الهام؛ برخورداری، سجاد و محسن مهرآرا (1403). «بررسی تأثیر نرخ ارز بر رفتار رمه‌ای در بورس اوراق بهادار تهران: کاربردی از رویکرد FAVAR». فصلنامه پژوهشات اقتصادی، 59(1)، 149-117 . Doi: 10.22059/jte.2024.96845
11. نصاری‌پور، جعفر و نرگس صبوری (1402). «بررسی رابطه بین زمان ورود به بازار سهام و اثر تمایلی سرمایه‌گذاران خرد». نشریه علمی رویکردهای پژوهشی نوین مدیریت و حسابداری، 7(24)، 860- 841 . https://majournal.ir/index.php/ma/article/view/1914
12. Akhtaruzzaman M., Boubaker S., Lucey B.M. & A. Sensoy (2021). "Is gold a hedge or a safe-haven asset in the COVID-19 crisis?". Economic Modelling, 102, 105588. [DOI:10.1016/j.econmod.2021.105588]
13. Barakat M.R., Elgazzar S.H. & K.M. Hanafy (2016). "Impact of macroeconomic variables on stock markets: Evidence from emerging markets". International journal of economics and finance, 8(1), 195-207. [DOI:10.5539/ijef.v8n1p195]
14. Beh W.L. & W.K. Yew (2020). "Macroeconomic factors and stock markets interdependencies: Evidence from United States and China". Journal of Critical Reviews, 7(5), 68-74. [DOI:10.31838/jcr.07.05.11]
15. Bhattacharya M. & S.N. Bhattacharya (2022). "Macroeconomic factors and emerging equity market: A contextual analysis using quantile regression". Corporate Governance and Sustainability Review, 6(1), 22-31. [DOI:10.22495/cgsrv6i1p3]
16. Brahmasrene T. & K. Jiranyakul (2007). "Cointegration and causality between stock index and macroeconomic variables in an emerging market". Academy of accounting and financial studies Journal, 11(3), 17-30.
17. Celebi K. & M. Hönig (2019). "The impact of macroeconomic factors on the German stock market: Evidence for the crisis, pre-and post-crisis periods". International Journal of Financial Studies, 7(2), 18. [DOI:10.3390/ijfs7020018]
18. Chiang T.C. (2022). "The effects of economic uncertainty, geopolitical risk and pandemic upheaval on gold prices". Resources Policy, 76, 102546. [DOI:10.1016/j.resourpol.2021.102546]
19. Choi J., Kim M. & O. Randall (2023). Hidden Duration: Interest Rate Derivatives in Fixed Income Funds. Available at SSRN. [DOI:10.2139/ssrn.4662054]
20. Edwards S., Cavallo D.F., Fraga A. & J. Frenkel (2003). Exchange rate regimes. In Economic and financial crises in emerging market economies. University of Chicago Press. [DOI:10.7208/chicago/9780226241104.003.0002]
21. El-Diftar D. (2023). "The impact of exchange rates on stock market performance of the Emerging 7". Journal of Capital Markets Studies, 7(2), 125-139. [DOI:10.1108/JCMS-03-2023-0005]
22. Kirui E., Wawire N.H. & P.A. Onono (2014). "Macroeconomic variables, volatility and stock market returns: a case of Nairobi securities exchange", Kenya, 6, 214. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2400424 [DOI:10.5539/ijef.v6n8p214]
23. Gümüş N. & M.M. Baba (2024). "Unveiling the Dynamics: Exploring the Relationship between Emerging Stock Market Prices and Macroeconomic Factors through ARDL Analysis". International Econometric Review, 16(1), 24-49. [DOI:10.33818/ier.1465359]
24. Huy D. T. N., Nhan V. K., Bich N. T. N., Hong N. T. P., Chung N.T. & Huy P.Q. (2021). "Impacts of internal and external macroeconomic factors on firm stock price in an expansion econometric model-a case in Vietnam real estate industry". Data Science for Financial Econometrics, 189-205. [DOI:10.1007/978-3-030-48853-6_14]
25. Kakkar S. & G. Sharma (2013). "Impact of macro-economic variables on gold prices in India". South Asian Journal of Marketing & Management Research, 3(8), 29-38.
26. Kopyl K. A. & J.B.T. Lee (2016). "How safe are the safe haven assets?". Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, 30(4), 453-482. [DOI:10.1007/s11408-016-0277-5]
27. Ji Q., Zhang D. & Y. Zhao (2020). "Searching for safe-haven assets during the COVID-19 pandemic". International Review of Financial Analysis, 71, 101526. [DOI:10.1016/j.irfa.2020.101526] [PMID] [PMCID]
28. Mamcarz K. (2022). "Gold market and selected Nordic stock markets: Granger causality". Ekonomia i Prawo. Economics and Law, 21(2), 463-487. [DOI:10.12775/EiP.2022.026]
29. Moussavi J. (2015). "Global Excess Liquidity and Asset Prices in Emerging Markets: Evidence from the BRICS". Available at SSRN 2597016. [DOI:10.2139/ssrn.2597016]
30. Novandi A.K. & M.F. Falah (2023). "The Influence of Inflation, Interest Rates, and Exchange Rates on the Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) in Indonesia: English". Asian Economic And Business Development, 6(1), 43-48. [DOI:10.54204/AEBD/Vol6No1August2023006]
31. Nukala V. B. & S.S. Prasada Rao (2021). "Role of debt-to-equity ratio in project investment valuation, assessing risk and return in capital markets". Future Business Journal, 7(1), 13. [DOI:10.1186/s43093-021-00058-9]
32. Otieno D.A., Ngugi R.W. & N.H. Wawire (2017). "The global financial crisis, inflation rate and stock market returns in Kenya". European Scientific Journal, 13(19), 191-210. [DOI:10.19044/esj.2017.v13n19p191]
33. Rady A., Essam F., Yahia H. & M. Shalaby (2024). "The Dynamic Relationship Between Exchange Rate Volatility and Stock Prices in the Egyptian Real Estate Market and the Moderating Effect of Interest Rates". European Journal of Business and Management Research, 9(5), 31-44. [DOI:10.24018/ejbmr.2024.9.5.2230]
34. Sigdel S. (2024). Impact of Interest Rate on Stock Mmarket in NEPAL (Doctoral dissertation, Shanker Dev Campus).
35. Sikalao-Lekobane O.L. (2014). "Do macroeconomic variables influence domestic stock market price behaviour in emerging markets? A Johansen cointegration approach to the Botswana Stock Market". Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, 6(5), 363-372. [DOI:10.22610/jebs.v6i5.499]
36. Soedarmono W., Gunadi I., Indawan F. & C.S. Wulandari (2022). The Dynamics Of Foreign Capital Flows In Indonesia: Sources And Implications On Bond Market And Bank Stability (No. WP/03/2022).
37. Villafuerte J. & J.T. Yap (2015). Managing capital flows in Asia: An overview of key issues. Asian Development Bank Economics Working Paper Series, (464). [DOI:10.2139/ssrn.2709325]
38. Khalid W. & S. Khan (2017). "Effects of macroeconomic variables on the stock market volatility: the Pakistan experience". International Journal of Econometrics and Financial Management, 5(2), 42-59. [DOI:10.12691/ijefm-5-2-4]
39. Yoon D. R., Song W. & J. Lee (2020). "Analysis of Determinants of Foreign Fund Movement in the Domestic Securities Market: Focusing on Interest Rates and Exchange Rates (Determinants of Foreign Security Investment: Focusing on Interest Rates and Exchange Rates)". KIEP Research Paper, Research Report, 20-28.
40. Zeytinoğlu E., Akarim Y. D. & S. Çelik (2012). "The impact of market-based ratios on stock returns: The evidence from insurance sector in Turkey". International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 84, 41-48.
41. Zhong J. (2024). "The Correlation Between the Price of Gold and Monetary Policy: A Case Study of The Chinese Market". International Journal of Global Economics and Management, 5(2), 22-38. [DOI:10.62051/ijgem.v5n2.04]
Send email to the article author

Add your comments about this article
Your username or Email:

CAPTCHA


XML   Persian Abstract   Print


Download citation:
BibTeX | RIS | EndNote | Medlars | ProCite | Reference Manager | RefWorks
Send citation to:

behzadi soufiani M, shahbazi M. Comparison of the Influence of Net money Flow by Individual Investors into Fixed Income Fund, Gold fund and Equity in the Capital Market. qjerp 2026; 34 (117) :110-155
URL: http://qjerp.ir/article-1-3731-en.html


Rights and permissions
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution ۴.۰ International License (CC BY ۴.۰)
Volume 34, Issue 117 (quarterly journal of economic research and policies 2026) Back to browse issues page
فصلنامه پژوهشها و سیاستهای اقتصادی Journal of Economic Research and Policies
Persian site map - English site map - Created in 0.16 seconds with 44 queries by YEKTAWEB 4766